• TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      I’m making a called shot of a drop into the 40’s for July’s polling.

      He wont’ drop below 25%, ever. That’s his core. They may never support another candidate again.

      However, dropping to high 30’s low 40’s only puts Trump back to par with Biden. Hardly a W, but at lease Biden would be back in the running.

        • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          I mean it in a “There are still people who think gamestop is going to be a billion dollar stock” manner.

          See: https://lemmy.world/c/gamestopstock

          Cult/ Cargo cult level “They will never support another candidate again” is what I mean. They’ll write him in. They’ll have wild conspiracy theories. Not need to push. It will happen it on its own.

          I would guess its around 25-30% of Republican voters. Its the conspiracy theory mind-set cutting backwards against those that seed it. There is no undoing this.

          • barsquid@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            If Donald could please just die and they continue writing in his name for all future votes that would be great. They are the most ignorant and racist people within a party wholly committed to cultivating ignorant and racist voters.

    • nfh@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      I suspect some people will mental gymnastics themselves into thinking this isn’t a serious crime, and stipulating an abstract ‘serious crime’ yields more extreme results than we’ll see as a result of this verdict.

      But a few percentage point swing in a few key states is enough to ensure a Biden victory, so it may be enough.

      • kandoh@reddthat.com
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        4 months ago

        The fact of the matter is for a lot of white Americans it’s either support the republican nominee or those scary minorities will take over. To them, a white criminal is preferable to what they see as guliable saps at best or race traitors at worst.