It’s news when it goes down a bit but it’s not news when it’s back on all-time-high 3 months later.

I’m not anti-AI in any shape or form but even I acknowledge that those companies are overvalued. I don’t remember ever seeing anyone claiming otherwise. Least of all here. I’m sure you can find people like that but I don’t hang where those people do.

However I do disagree about the implication that the bubble has somehow now shown to have been actual. It’s not. No actual crash has happened. Also, many people seem to be under the impression that the bubble bursting would somehow make AI go away. That I disagree with as well.

Nobody is advocating against buying the dip. We’re questioning the decision to start buying just before it.

You buying already? Report back in 6 months on how it went.

You can pick almost any mid-range device in the 500 euro price range and that thing does 95% of what the 2k€ flagship does except fold in half and cost month’s wage. That’s Enough Phone for anyone.

I’m kind of surprised that anyone tolerated these in the first place. Considering that even rental scooters immediately get vandalized and thrown into a ditch, you’d just think that would be even more the case for something like that which has absolutely no use to the public whatsoever. Could probably easily snipe one with even just a pellet gun.

Nobody needs X is a moot point. You also don’t need the vast majority of your possessions. Some things are simply nice to have, especially when you can afford them. There are just things that you don’t like other people having.

Also, the chance of you dying on a place crash either as a passenger or a person on the ground is astronomically small. 104 people died in a car crash yesterday in the US alone and this is true for every single day of the year.

Ideally you should find a resident couple. That way you know you’re always interacting with the same birds. Then you just wait and offer them food and let them come get it instead of taking it to them. They observe you closely and they will remember and recognize you. The intention is to teach to them that you’re not a threat and that you reliably produce food.

I don’t even know what mine is. There’s been a software update waiting since the day I bought it but I never installed it. I update my OS when I switch devices every 7 years or so. Same applies to apps. I update them when I’m forced to. If it’s working I won’t touch it. Updates reliably makes everything worse. They fix bugs I’ve never ecountered and introduce new ones along with UI changes that I will.

Seems to have more to do with China than AI per-se considering that TSMC, Samsung and SK Hynix are unaffected.

Actually buying the dip is timing the market, not trying to. You really can’t go wrong with that. It becomes an issue when you don’t invest because you’re waiting for the dip.

I don’t use ChatGPT anymore as I’ve switched to another model but back when I did this wasn’t something they were secretly doing. It’s a feature. You can read the memories it has saved, delete the ones you don’t want it to store and IIRC it can also be turned off.

It’s technically true but not the whole truth. Those calculations leave out certain costs such as the value of the stocks given to employees, the cost of training new models and revenue shared with partners like Amazon. It’s not that uncommon practice with technology companies when wanting to show inverstors a cleaner picture of the core business but it does not mean that the company as whole has become profitable.

Generally the benchmark for AGI has been “human level intelligence” meaning that from there on AI is also the best AI researcher and human input is no longer needed in developing it. That’s where the concept of singularity or intelligence explosion stems from.

The narrative here tends to be that it goes from AGI to ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) very rapidly but in my view there’s not a significant difference between the two. AI that is as intelligent as a human but not more would still process information about a million times faster so effectively it would still be superintelligent.

That’s perfectly reasonable. I mostly take issue with the people claiming absolute certainty either way.

What good could hundred thousand of the world’s best scientists do for me if they had decades to study every question I asked and could answer them immediately?

Nothing I guess if you absolutely want to figure it all out by yourself.

That article reports that Anthropic told investors it expected one profitable quarter in 2026. It does not claim the company as a whole had become profitable.

Anthropic has raised large amounts of money by giving investors special instruments that can later turn into stock. When the company’s overall value rises a lot, the value of those instruments also rises. Accounting rules require the company to record that increase as a loss on its books, even though no cash actually went out the door to anyone. This explains about 72 of those 80 billion. It’s not actual money spent.

Anthropic has committed to spending at least $518 billion over a decade on cloud services, computing and infrastructure.

They’re betting everything on AGI. I don’t think anyone there at any point has even hoped that the tiny initial revenue streams would cover the absolutely gigantic upfront costs of setting everything up.

Now, whether they’ll actually reach AGI before this thing implodes is anyone’s guess. The people who claim that they absolutely will are full of shit just like the ones claiming they absolutely will not. Nobody knows and only time will tell.

Literally says right there.

…there to be enough working-age people to cover the retirement and medical payments of the ones no longer working.

I use AI a lot and I’ve spent months trying to craft an instructional prompt that would produce even remotely human-like answers and it reliably fails at this every single time. I guess I can imagine how it could fool someone for a while who has never interacted with an LLM before but I honestly don’t have a theory of mind for the individuals who are convinced about it. I’ve just grown so sensitive to the patterns of how it responds that I’m immediately disillusioned by it.

I sure hope we get there one day but we’re not there yet and I honestly haven’t seen a huge amount of improvement over the past few years. I still value it for the ultra-autistic thinking partner that it is but at no point does it give me reason to think there’s much of anything “human” going on the other side.