Let’s assume that in 10 years, AI has advanced absurdly, insanely fast, and is now capable of doing everything a Senior SWE can do. It can program in 15 different languages, 95% accuracy with almost no mistakes, can create entire applications in minutes, and no more engineers or SWEs are needed… What will all the devs do? Do they just become homeless? Transition to medical field, nursing? Become tradespeople like plumbers, HVAC?

  • MajorHavoc@programming.dev
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    19 hours ago

    I even used Claude AI to write an entire C# application, I did ZERO coding, yes, literally nothing! I have NEVER coded in C# before, I gave it all requirements, worked with it like a project manager… it created a full blown working application that was beyond my expectations.

    I achieved the same in 2000 with a home grown framework, and again in 2006 with Ruby on Rails.

    Astonishingly fast prototyping is a quarter of a centrury old.

    • How are you enjoying maintaining this app in production? (Or is it not there yet, because it’s just very nice for a prototype?)
    • How did Claude AI do at deploying it?
    • Are you satisfied with Claude AIs answers to your boss’ traffic analytics and load balancing questions?
    • When will Claude AI let you know how the A/B tests proved out for optimizing sales?
    • Or doesn’t it do those things yet?

    Computers are replacing us. They’ve been at it since their inception.

    Keep learning the trade and you’ll find there’s a metric ton more that computers cannot help with, than that they can help with. That will get better. I’m working at making it get better.

    I figure that my learning how to train the computers is job security. I didn’t count on it being a harsh lesson in how long it’s going to be before computers get not stupid.

    I do have a plan for when I automate myself out of a job. It’s just not a plan I’m really counting on, because I’ve been trying for decades and I only have so many decades left of doing this.

    I’ve been constantly advised to have an exit plan, for when the computers replaced me, for the entirety of those same decades.

    Most often by the same people who want me to charge less.

    Funny thing, that. Take care who you listen to on this topic, and that their motives are.

    My motive is to (continue to) charge the rest of you a shit ton of money before the AI finally replace us.

    It does help me if you all don’t buy into the bullshit that CEOs have been spouting about replacing us all.

    We’ve all been undercharging for about 3 years due to it.

    AI hasn’t accomplished jack shit, but a lot of you have accepted lower pay than you probably should.

    I make very good money, but I can’t help but notice that it would be a bit more of the rest of you would wise to the scam and raise your own prices.